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The IPCC projects that more frequent and more severe heat waves will be
one lethal effect of global warming. Deadly stretches of hot days, where nighttime
temperatures remain high, will become more common. One such event killed over Chicago
during the summer of 700 people in 1995. Based indicates on past heat wave events,
research that by the year 2020, global warming could cause up to a 145% rise in mortality
in New York City. Other major cities could suffer similar problems.
Regional climate stress on agriculture may mean up to 300 million additional
victims of malnutrition world-wide each year. Extreme floods and droughts are projected to
become more severe as global warming worsens. These extremes may threaten the availability
and supply of safe drinking water. Diseases associated with flooding, such as
cryptosporidiosis, could affect millions more people every year.
Extreme weather events, like the abnormal storms and flooding that have devastated many
communities across America in recent years, may also become more common. As the number and
severity of these events increase they will pose not only an immediate threat to human
health and well being, but also bring dangerous long-term consequences.
Heatwave deaths in Midwestern cities may
soar due to global warming
| CITY |
CURRENT DEATHS IN PRESENT CLIMATE |
2020 *CLIMATE AVERAGE DEATHS |
2050 *CLIMATE AVERAGE DEATHS |
| Buffalo, NY |
33 |
34.3 |
55.3 |
| Chicago,IL |
191 |
400.7 |
497.3 |
| Cleveland,OH |
29 |
39 |
52.3 |
| Detroit,MI |
110 |
162.7 |
219 |
| Indianapolis,IN |
36 |
55.7 |
70 |
| Kansas City, MO |
49 |
115 |
127.3 |
| Minneapolis,MN |
59 |
129.3 |
174.7 |
| Pittsburgh,PA |
39 |
54 |
79.7 |
| St. Louis,MO |
79 |
160 |
185.3 |
Numbers derived from averages from three models --
United Kingdom Meteorological Model, Global Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Model, and Max
Planck Institute for Meteorology Model. Population and metropolitan areas standardized to
current levels. Lives spared due to warmer winters estimated to be negligible. Adapted
from Laurence S. Kalkstein and J. Scott Greene.
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